How Not to Be Wrong: The Hidden Maths of EveryDay Life (A Sunday Times Bestseller) (Paperback)

‘How Not to Be Wrong: The Hidden Math’s of Every Day Life’ Book CONTENTS:
WHEN AMI GOING TO USE THIS? - 1

PART I
Linearity
One. LESS LIKE SWEDEN – 21
Two. STRAIGHT LOCALLY, CURVED GLOBALLY – 31
Three. EVERYONE IS OBESE – 50
Four. HOW MUCH IS THAT IN DEAD AMERICANS? – 62
Five. MORE PIE THAN PLATE – 77

PART II
Inference
Six. THE BALTIMORE STOCKBROKER AND THE BIBLE CODE – 89
Seven. DEAD FISH DON’T READ MINDS – 102
Eight. REDUCTIO AD UNLIKELY – 131
Nine. THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HARUSPICY – 145
Ten. ARE YOU THERE, GOD? IT’S ME, BAYESIAN INFERENCE – 163

PART III
Expectation
Eleven. WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU’RE EXPECTING TO WIN THE LOTTERY – 195
Twelve. MISS MORE PLANES! – 233
Thirteen. WHERE THE TRAIN TRACKS MEET – 253

PART IV
Regression
Fourteen. THE TRIUMPH OF MEDIOCRITY – 295
Fifteen. GALTON'S ELLIPSE – 311
Sixteen. DOES LUNG CANCER MAKE YOU SMOKE CIGARETTES? - 347

PART V
Existence
Seventeen. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS PUBLIC OPINION – 365
Eighteen. “OUT OF NOTHING I HAVE CREATED A STRANGE NEW UNIVERSE" – 393
HOW TO BE RIGHT – 421

Acknowledgments – 439
Notes – 443
Index – 459